Home Loan Rate Report: A higher road ahead

  • We expect floating and short-term fixed mortgage interest rates to remain around current levels into 2019.
  • The tick-shaped curve and our expectations of a mild RBNZ tightening cycle suggests shorter-term fixed rates should continue to offer good value.
  • There is the risk that mortgage interest rates increase faster and more significantly than what our forecasts currently assume.  Borrowers should think about their appetite for risk and ability to absorb higher interest rate costs should this occur.

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Chris Tennent-Brown

ASB Wealth Senior Economist

Chris has worked as an economist for ASB and Commonwealth Bank of Australia in Sydney since 2005. His work has involved monitoring and forecasting trends in the New Zealand economy, with a focus on drawing implications for financial markets and investments. Chris is passionate about savings issues, and much of his current work is focussed on broadening peoples understanding of investments. Chris obtained a Bachelor of Commence at Auckland University, majoring in Economics, and prior to joining ASB worked in the funds management industry for Bankers Trust and BT Funds Management. With over 20 years' experience in finance, Chris has also spent several years farming, and was a New Zealand representative cyclist. When not at work, Chris likes to travel, cycle, and spend time with his family and numerous pets.

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