Economic Weekly: The population puzzle

  • GDP will be firmly back in the spotlight this week. The final flurry of partial GDP indicators are released this week which means ourselves (and other economic forecasters) will be busy firming up Q1 2023 GDP forecasts
  • We have pencilled in a flat outturn for the quarter
  • As a result, this week’s partial data will help to shed light on whether or not New Zealand avoided a technical recession in Q4 2022/Q1 2023 (remembering that GDP fell 0.6% qoq at the end of 2022)

Contact us

Mark Smith

Senior Economist

Mark joined ASB in 2017, with over 20 years of public and private sector experience working as an economist in New Zealand and the UK.

His resume includes lengthy stints at ANZ and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, and he has also worked at the Bank of England, HM Treasury and the New Zealand Transport Agency. Mark's areas of specialisation include interest rate strategy, macro-economic analysis and urban economics.

Born and bred in the Waikato, Mark studied at Waikato University where he graduated with a Master of Social Sciences, majoring in Economics.

Mark's key strengths are the ability to use his extensive experience, inquisitive nature, analytical ability, creativity and pragmatism to dig a little deeper and to deliver common sense solutions to tackle complex problems.

When not at work Mark likes to travel, keep fit and spend time with his friends and family.