Economic Weekly: Growth grind

  • We expect the NZ economy to be regathering momentum next year, with the lull in annual growth in the tail half of 2019 – effectively now.
  • Next Thursday sees the RBNZ reveal its final decision on bank capital requirements for locally incorporated banks and we believe the (stricter) requirements will pose a more significant headwind to the NZ economy that the RBNZ expects.
  • This, and a myriad of (predominantly negative) local and global risks will likely push the OCR move lower over 2020.


Contact us

Mark Smith

Senior Economist

Mark joined ASB in 2017, with over 20 years of public and private sector experience working as an economist in New Zealand and the UK.

His resume includes lengthy stints at ANZ and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, and he has also worked at the Bank of England, HM Treasury and the New Zealand Transport Agency. Mark's areas of specialisation include interest rate strategy, macro-economic analysis and urban economics.

Born and bred in the Waikato, Mark studied at Waikato University where he graduated with a Master of Social Sciences, majoring in Economics.

Mark's key strengths are the ability to use his extensive experience, inquisitive nature, analytical ability, creativity and pragmatism to dig a little deeper and to deliver common sense solutions to tackle complex problems.

When not at work Mark likes to travel, keep fit and spend time with his friends and family.